Fed Decision in December…73%·Will China overtake US GDP by 2030…18%·October Inflation China - Annual: 0…58%·Will the U.S. State Department issu…1%·How low will 5-year Treasury yield …15%·Fed Decision in December…73%·Will China overtake US GDP by 2030…18%·October Inflation China - Annual: 0…58%·Will the U.S. State Department issu…1%·How low will 5-year Treasury yield …15%·
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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

PREDICTIONBRIEF · LIVE · MACRO EDITION
Macro & Rates Morning Intelligence
Fed PolicyGeopoliticsInflationMacroRates
MACRO SNAPSHOT

The 5 highest-volume macro contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket right now. Fed cuts, inflation, recession, employment. Each number is backed by real money. Subscribe to get this with 24hr shift analysis and a full synthesis at 8:00am ET.

73%
Fed PolicyPolymarket▲2pts
Fed Decision in December?: 25 bps increase
vol $230K
18%
GeopoliticsKalshi▲2pts
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
vol $134K
58%
InflationPolymarket▲10pts
October Inflation China - Annual: 0.7% to 0.8%
vol $3K
1%
MacroKalshi
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
vol $212K
15%
RatesPolymarket▲6pts
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?: Below 4.25%
vol $5K
LIVE TERMINAL/markets
$fetch --live --source all --macro
Fed Decision in December73%+2
Will China overtake US GDP by 203018%+2
October Inflation China - Annual: 0.7% t58%+10
5+markets
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