MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by …1%·How high will unemployment get befo…46%·Fed decision in April…2%·Will Trump balance the budget…10%·Will China overtake US GDP by 2030…19%·MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by …1%·How high will unemployment get befo…46%·Fed decision in April…2%·Will Trump balance the budget…10%·Will China overtake US GDP by 2030…19%·
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Monday, March 9, 2026

PREDICTIONBRIEF · LIVE · MACRO EDITION
Macro & Rates Morning Intelligence
CryptoEmploymentFed PolicyFiscalMacro
MACRO SNAPSHOT

Top 5 prediction markets by volume, pulled live from Kalshi and Polymarket. These are the probabilities that millions of dollars are currently betting on. Subscribe to get this delivered with full analysis every morning.

1%
CryptoPolymarket
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?: March 31, 2026
vol $62K
46%
EmploymentKalshi▲6pts
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
vol $207K
2%
Fed PolicyPolymarket
Fed decision in April?: 25+ bps increase
vol $82K
10%
FiscalKalshi
Will Trump balance the budget?
vol $40K
19%
MacroKalshi
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
vol $78K
📅 ECONOMIC CALENDAR · NEXT 14 DAYS
Mar 11PPI Reporthigh
Mar 12CPI Reporthigh
Mar 19FOMC Decisioncritical
Data: Kalshi + Polymarket · 8:00am ET weekdayspredictionbrief.io
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