Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair…94%·Will the US government take control…38%·Will US trade deficit for 2026 be b…0%·What Iranian demands will Trump agr…9%·China Annual GDP Growth 2026: 4.0–5…68%·Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair…94%·Will the US government take control…38%·Will US trade deficit for 2026 be b…0%·What Iranian demands will Trump agr…9%·China Annual GDP Growth 2026: 4.0–5…68%·
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Thursday, April 23, 2026

PREDICTIONBRIEF · LIVE · MACRO EDITION
Macro & Rates Morning Intelligence
Fed PolicyTechFiscalTradeGeopolitics
MACRO SNAPSHOT

The 5 highest-volume macro contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket right now. Fed cuts, inflation, recession, employment. Each number is backed by real money. Subscribe to get this with 24hr shift analysis and a full synthesis at 8:00am ET.

94%
Fed PolicyPolymarket
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?: Kevin Warsh
vol $806K
38%
TechKalshi▲4pts
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
vol $7K
0%
FiscalKalshi
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85‎ billion and 94.9‎ billion?
vol $1K
9%
TradePolymarket▼10pts
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?: Oil Sanction Relief
vol $11K
68%
GeopoliticsPolymarket▲2pts
China Annual GDP Growth 2026: 4.0–5.0%
vol $13K
LIVE TERMINAL/markets
$fetch --live --source all --macro
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair94%+0
Will the US government take control of a38%+4
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be betwee0%+0
5+markets
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